China Pine Nut Kernel Export Analysis Report: 2019
Writer: Ray@pinenut.net , Meihekou City Jinfeng Food Co., Ltd.
1. Annual Overview of 2019
In 2019, <China’s pine nut kernel exports> totaled 10,434 MT, marking a **-17.8% decline** from 12,672 MT in 2018. This contraction in reflected:
- Trade barriers: U.S. tariffs disrupted , reducing exports to the U.S. by **-27.2% YoY**.
- EU demand erosion: Germany, the largest buyer of , reduced orders by **-22.5% YoY**.
- Global oversupply: Inventories of in Europe remained high after record imports in 2017–2018.
2. Country-Specific Analysis of Pine Nut Kernel Exports
(A) Volume and Market Share Trends
| Country | 2019 Volume (MT) | YoY Change | Share (2019) | Key Trend (2016–2019) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 3,021.5 | -22.5% | 28.9% | Largest buyer, but share dropped from 27.1% (2016). |
| United States | 2,531.7 | -27.2% | 24.3% | Tariffs cut by half vs. 2016. |
| Netherlands | 764.7 | -42.5% | 7.3% | Re-export hub for weakened post-2018. |
(B) Regional Highlights
- European Union:
- Collectively imported 5,347 MT of pine nut kernels (51.2% share), down from 8,941 MT (63.3%) in 2016.
- Southern Europe (Italy, Spain) saw stable demand for in snack and bakery industries.
- North America:
- U.S. and Canada imported 2,699 MT of pine nut kernels (25.9% share), with Canada’s volumes growing at a **+2.1% CAGR** since 2016.
- Asia-Pacific:
- Japan’s halved to 144.5 MT (1.4% share) amid competition from cheaper Russian supplies.
3. Long-Term Trends in Pine Nut Kernel Exports (2016–2019)
(A) Declining Global Demand
- Total fell at a **-5.8% CAGR**, from 14,116 MT (2016) to 10,434 MT (2019).
- Mature markets (Germany, U.S., Netherlands) accounted for 71% of the decline.
(B) Price Volatility
- Average export prices for dropped **-12%** from 2016 to 2019, driven by oversupply and competition from Pakistan.
4. Comparative Analysis with Historical Data (Pre-2019)
(A) Germany’s Multi-Year Contraction
- Germany’s declined at a **-4.4% CAGR** (2016: 3,826 MT → 2019: 3,021 MT), reflecting shrinking EU retail demand.
(B) U.S. Market Destabilization
- Tariffs accelerated the decline of to the U.S., which fell from 3,578 MT (2016) to 2,531 MT (2019).
(C) Resilience in Southern Europe
- Spain’s imports of grew at a **+12.4% CAGR** (2016: 275 MT → 2019: 443 MT), driven by processed-food manufacturers.
